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美国银行表示,受定价和成本压力影响,美国保险公司第一季度巨灾损失预计较轻。

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-- 美国银行证券周二发布的一份报告指出,预计美国保险公司第一季度巨灾损失将相对较轻,但价格走势疲软和成本上升可能会对盈利造成压力。 报告预测,巨灾损失预计将低于历史平均水平,这可能为大型保险公司提供短期支撑。但报告也指出,财产和意外伤害保险费率涨幅放缓以及持续的理赔通胀可能会对承保利润率构成压力。 该券商还指出,随着保险公司加大对技术、数据基础设施和人工智能项目的投入,成本压力也在不断上升。美国银行表示,这些投资有助于提升长期竞争力,但短期收益有限,并可能加剧即将公布的业绩中的利润率压力。 该券商预计,美国保险公司第一季度的前景喜忧参半。巨灾损失的利好因素可能会被价格增长放缓所抵消。报告补充道,持续的宏观经济压力和不断上升的成本基础也可能对整个行业构成压力。 美国银行还更新了部分保险公司的目标股价,将 AIG (AIG) 的目标股价下调至 79 美元,同时维持中性评级;将 Progressive (PGR) 的目标股价上调至 298 美元,并维持买入评级;将 Chubb (CB) 的目标股价下调至 271 美元,同时维持弱于大盘评级。

Price: $78.00, Change: $+0.17, Percent Change: +0.22%

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