-- 周一午盘交易中，美国股指回落，投资者正权衡霍尔木兹海峡的军事行动。霍尔木兹海峡是全球约五分之一原油运输的咽喉要道。 纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.7%，收于24,946.4点；标普500指数下跌0.7%，收于7,182.2点；道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.1%，收于48,952.7点。标普500指数和纳斯达克指数上周均触及历史新高。 西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格上涨3.7%，至每桶105.70美元；布伦特原油期货价格上涨5.6%，至每桶114.21美元。 据《华尔街日报》报道，周一霍尔木兹海峡的军事紧张局势升级，伊朗发出威胁，多艘船只遭到袭击。美国派出驱逐舰击退了进一步的袭击。据《华尔街日报》报道，此次冲突发生在特朗普总统推动将滞留在波斯湾的船只通过这条关键水道驶出之后。 与此同时，据美国消费者新闻与商业频道（CNBC）报道，美国中央司令部否认了伊朗关于一艘途经霍尔木兹海峡的美国军舰遭到两枚导弹袭击并被迫撤退的说法。另据美联社报道，美国军方称有两艘悬挂美国国旗的商船通过了霍尔木兹海峡。 据路透社报道，伊朗联合司令部已指示商船和油轮，未经伊朗军方协调，不得进行任何行动。 大多数美国国债收益率上涨，其中10年期国债收益率盘中上涨8.2个基点至4.46%，创下一个多月以来的最高水平。2年期国债收益率上涨10.5个基点至3.99%。
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Sector Update: Tech
Tech stocks were mixed late Monday afternoon, with the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) increasing 0.2% and the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) decreasing 0.4%.The Philadelphia Semiconductor index decreased 0.5%.In corporate news, Apple (AAPL) is planning to introduce a new feature for its next iPhone software update that will allow users to develop and personalize their own digital tickets and gift cards in the Wallet app, Bloomberg reported. The pass-building feature for iOS 27 Wallet is expected to address the issue of many services still not offering passes compatible with the Wallet platform, the report said. Apple shares were down 1.1%.
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Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Opinion On Shares Of Sirius Xm Holdings Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month target price by $5 to $22, applying an EV/revenue multiple of 2.0x to our 2026 estimate, a discount to its three-year historical average multiple of 2.5x. We trim our 2026 EPS estimate by $0.01 to $3.09 and raise 2027's by $0.14 to $3.45. There was mention of a softer auto sales environment, which created headwinds for trial starts and impacted subscriber acquisition, particularly following last year's tariff-driven pull forward in vehicle sales. Conversion rates for self-pay subscribers saw slight declines, especially as younger car purchasers entered the trial funnel, and used car conversion rates remained lower than new car rates. Subscriber trends are expected to be modestly lower Y/Y, with management cautioning about ongoing pressures and declining to change subscriber guidance for the year due to uncertainties in auto sales and companion subscription take rates.
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Treasury
US Treasury Lifts Q2 Borrowing Estimate
The US Treasury said Monday that it expects to borrow $189 billion in Q2, a larger borrowing estimate than the $109 billion it announced in its previous statement.The reason for the increase in the borrowing estimate was lower projected net cash flows that were partially offset by a higher-than-expected cash balance at the start of the quarter. The Treasury still assumes a $900 billion end-of-quarter balance.Borrowing is seen at $671 billion in Q3, with an estimated cash balance of $950 billion at the end of September.The Treasury borrowed $577 billion in Q1, ending March with an $893 billion cash balance at the end of the quarter. The Treasury had previously expected to borrow $574 billion with an end-of-March cash balance of $850 billion.The slightly higher amount of Q1 borrowing was due to a higher-than-assumed end-of-quarter cash balance that were partially offset by higher net cash flows, the Treasury said.