-- 周五,美国股市收盘涨跌互现,市场关注伊朗和平谈判的进展,同时3月份通胀率飙升三倍,推高了政府债券收益率。 纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%,收于22,902.89点;标普500指数下跌0.1%,收于6,816.89点;道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.6%,收于47,916.57点。除科技、材料、可选消费和房地产板块外,所有板块均下跌。必需消费品、医疗保健和金融板块领跌。 据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道,美国总统特朗普表示,如果本周末在巴基斯坦斡旋下于伊斯兰堡举行的谈判未能达成和平协议,美国准备恢复并加强对伊朗的打击。美国劳工统计局的数据显示,中东战争导致美国3月份通胀率飙升三倍,汽油价格也大幅上涨。 据报道,伊朗议会议长穆罕默德·巴格尔·加利巴夫表示,除非美国满足两个条件,否则谈判无法启动:黎巴嫩停火和解冻被冻结的伊朗资产。一位以色列官员和一位知情人士告诉美国有线电视新闻网(CNN),以色列、黎巴嫩和美国的大使将于周五在华盛顿特区举行会谈,为以色列和黎巴嫩未来的谈判奠定基础。 据《华尔街日报》报道,美国副总统约翰·迪安·万斯在启程前往参加美伊会谈时表示,华盛顿“愿意在本周末伸出橄榄枝”,但警告德黑兰不要“试图耍我们”。 西德克萨斯中质原油期货下跌1.8%,至每桶96.14美元;布伦特原油期货下跌1.7%,至每桶94.34美元。 经济方面,由于中东冲突导致能源价格大幅上涨,美国3月份消费者通胀率飙升至近四年来的最高月度水平。 美国劳工统计局周五公布的数据显示,3月份消费者价格指数(CPI)上涨0.9%,创下自2022年6月以来的最大涨幅。这一最新数据与彭博社民调的普遍预期相符。2月份CPI上涨0.3%。同比来看,3月份CPI从2月份的2.4%升至3.3%,低于华尔街此前预测的3.4%。 官方数据显示,3月份能源价格环比飙升约11%,其中汽油价格涨幅高达21%,几乎占整体涨幅的四分之三。 牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家伯纳德·亚罗斯在发给的电子邮件中表示:“美以伊战争的影响在3月份的CPI中显而易见。” 美国国债收益率上升,10年期国债收益率上涨2.6个基点至4.32%,2年期国债收益率上涨2.1个基点至3.80%。 密歇根大学4月份消费者信心指数初值从3月份的53.3降至47.6,低于彭博社汇总调查的预期值51.5。 受访者对一年期通胀预期从3月份的3.8%升至4.8%,对五年期通胀预期从3.2%升至3.4%。 根据芝商所(CME)的FedWatch工具显示,从4月到12月,美联储在每次利率会议上维持利率在3.5%至3.75%区间不变的概率均有所上升。 贵金属方面,黄金期货下跌0.7%至每盎司4785.6美元,白银期货小幅上涨0.2%至每盎司76.56美元。
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