-- 周四午盘交易中,原油期货价格小幅走低,此前有报道称,美国总统特朗普将听取有关美伊对峙加剧之际扩大对伊军事选项的简报。 近月西德克萨斯中质原油期货下跌2.27%,至每桶104.37美元;布伦特原油期货下跌3.51%,至每桶113.88美元。 由于中东供应持续中断,全球买家转向美国生产商寻求替代供应,上周美国原油出口激增。美国能源信息署的最新数据显示,截至4月24日当周,美国原油库存减少620万桶,至4.595亿桶。 荷兰国际集团(ING)策略师周四在一份报告中指出:“这是历史新高,超过了2023年2月创下的563万桶/日的纪录。”他们还指出,强劲的出口量正日益收紧美国国内市场供应。 美国能源信息署(EIA)表示,目前的库存比五年同期平均水平高出约1%。 特朗普总统正在评估新的军事选项,同时继续对伊朗港口实施严格的海上封锁,这表明在谈判陷入僵局的情况下,他采取了强硬立场。 据报道,美国总统将听取美国中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将的简报,了解一系列针对伊朗的新军事打击计划,以迫使伊朗就结束冲突的协议进行谈判。 与此同时,伊朗当局誓言,如果华盛顿再次发动袭击,伊朗将对美国阵地进行“持久而猛烈的打击”,并重新控制霍尔木兹海峡。 伊朗革命卫队表示,任何新的美国军事侵略都将触发伊朗此前未公开的能力,包括先进的智能目标瞄准系统。 伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队空军司令马吉德·穆萨维表示:“你们已经看到了你们在该地区的基地的命运;你们也将看到你们军舰的命运。” 伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊也表示,在新管理模式下,德黑兰将消除他所称的敌人对该水道的滥用,伊朗正努力加强对这一关键咽喉要道的控制。 在供应方面,霍尔木兹海峡中断导致原油流量锐减近两个月后,全球石油市场正经历着脆弱的再平衡,有限的系统灵活性使得供应依然紧张。 数据分析公司Kpler表示,中断发生约60天后,通过这一关键咽喉要道的石油流量仍然接近最低水平,从4月份的约2000万桶/日降至约100万桶/日。 据克普勒称,霍尔木兹海峡的交通仍然有限且不均衡,过境船只的航行方向持续严重失衡。截至4月29日,共记录到12艘船只过境,比前一天增加4艘,所有船只均由西向东航行,未观察到返程船只。
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