-- 周三午盘交易中,原油期货价格飙升,延续了前一交易日的涨势,原因是美伊对峙加剧了人们对中东供应进一步中断的担忧。 近月西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格上涨7.05%,至每桶107.02美元;布伦特原油期货价格飙升7.33%,至每桶119.41美元。 美国能源信息署(EIA)周三发布的周报显示,截至4月24日当周,美国原油库存减少620万桶,至4.595亿桶,供应趋紧的迹象显现。 EIA表示,目前原油库存比五年同期平均水平高出约1%。 盛宝银行策略师表示,在当前这场战争引发的周期中,原油价格飙升至历史新高,霍尔木兹海峡的近乎关闭加剧了供应中断,导致全球能源市场趋紧。据报道,特朗普总统正在考虑延长美国对伊朗港口的海上封锁,因为与恢复敌对行动或退出中东冲突相比,延长封锁对华盛顿的风险更小。中东冲突已经扰乱了全球能源市场。 特朗普周三威胁伊朗,称该国“最好尽快醒悟”。他在Truth Social网站上发帖称:“伊朗无法团结一致。他们不知道如何签署无核协议。他们最好尽快醒悟!” 三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)研究分析师金秀珍(Soojin Kim)表示,尽管特朗普称伊朗在谈判期间要求解除封锁,但有报道称,美国正在为长期封锁伊朗港口做准备。 在供应方面,美国总统已向美国能源公司询问如何减轻可能持续数月的伊朗港口封锁的影响,这引发了人们对中东供应中断可能长期存在的担忧。 美国海上封锁似乎正在给伊朗施加压力,有报道称伊朗原油储存空间即将耗尽,这可能加速其减产。 美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特表示,伊朗的主要石油出口码头哈尔格岛的储存能力已接近饱和,这可能迫使伊朗政府减少原油产量,并对伊朗的石油基础设施造成损害。 金表示:“伊朗还面临日益严峻的储存限制,这可能迫使其进一步减产,与此同时,美国正继续收紧对与伊朗石油相关的中国炼油商的制裁。” 与此同时,市场参与者仍在评估伊朗下月退出欧佩克这一令人震惊的决定所带来的影响。荷兰国际集团(ING)的策略师表示,在供应严重中断的时期退出欧佩克限制了其对市场的影响。 分析师表示:“因此,短期内,这一事态发展对市场影响甚微。但从中长期来看,这意味着市场供应将更加充足。”
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