-- 周一,生物燃料原料期货价格涨跌互现,大豆期货下跌,而豆油期货上涨,两者均受到中东紧张局势加剧和停火协议即将到期的威胁的影响。 芝加哥期货交易所(CBOT)5月大豆期货合约周五收跌0.13%,报每蒲式耳11.65美元;CBOT 5月豆油期货合约收涨2.16%,报每磅69.63美分。 纽约商品交易所(Nymex)5月乙醇期货合约周五收跌0.39%,报每加仑1.89美元。 DTN分析师雷特·蒙哥马利表示,目前尚不清楚伊朗是否同意参与任何谈判。在农产品市场,能源市场的影响反映在玉米、豆油和菜籽油期货价格的上涨上。与此同时,局势升级继续对大豆期货构成利空。 蒙哥马利在每日报告中指出:“新一周伊始,大豆市场走势涨跌互现,最初受到中东紧张局势以及中国2026-2027年度大豆进口量将减少的报道的影响。” 他补充道:“大豆价格可能将维持在窄幅区间波动,尤其是在特朗普总统5月访华之前,此次访华将有助于我们了解未来供需平衡表的需求情况。” 周一,美国农业部发布的每周出口检验报告显示,截至4月16日当周,大豆检验总量为2750万蒲式耳。 2025-2026年度大豆检验总量预计为11.8亿蒲式耳,较上年下降25%。尽管美国农业部对大豆期末库存的预估比过去五年平均水平高出20%,但大豆检验进度仍低于农业部的预期。
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