-- 美国全国房地产经纪人协会(NAR)周一公布的数据显示,受就业增长放缓和消费者信心持续低迷的影响,3月份美国成屋销售量下降。 经季节性调整后,上月成屋销售量环比下降3.6%,年化率为398万套。彭博社汇总的一项调查显示,市场普遍预期降幅为0.8%。所有地区的成屋销售量均环比下降。 NAR首席经济学家劳伦斯·云表示:“消费者信心下降和就业增长放缓继续抑制购房意愿。” 密歇根大学周五公布的初步调查显示,本月美国消费者信心指数跌至历史新低,反映出人们对价格上涨以及中东冲突带来的整体经济影响的担忧加剧。 美国和伊朗周末在巴基斯坦举行的谈判未能达成协议,加剧了人们对双方本已脆弱的停火协议能否持久的担忧。 美国房地产经纪人协会(NAR)援引房地美(Freddie Mac)的数据称,30年期固定利率抵押贷款的平均利率从2月份的6.05%上升至上月的6.18%。 牛津经济研究院首席经济学家南希·范登豪顿(Nancy Vanden Houten)在发给的电子邮件中表示:“我们预计未来几个月房屋销售不会有太大上涨空间。鉴于自伊朗战争爆发以来抵押贷款利率的持续走高,我们预计房屋销售将横盘整理,并在年底前开始逐步回升。” NAR数据显示,3月份独栋住宅销量环比下降3.5%至363万套,公寓和合作公寓销量环比下降5.4%至35万套。 云(Yun)表示:“库存仍然是市场的主要制约因素。” “新增30万至50万套待售房屋将有助于市场恢复正常,并让消费者在不感到仓促的情况下做出购买决定。” 报告显示,现有房屋的销售价格中位数同比上涨1.4%,达到408,800美元,连续第33个月实现年度增长。 “3月份待售房屋供应量有所增加,但随着春季房屋销售旺季的到来,预计供应量还会继续增长,”范登豪顿表示。“较高的抵押贷款利率将使一些卖家持观望态度,导致库存相对紧张。”
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