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美国天然气期货价格走低,温和天气和强劲供应令价格承压。

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-- 周三午盘交易中,受强劲的供应状况和持续高于季节性平均水平的库存增加以及近期天气对需求的影响有限,美国天然气期货价格延续跌势。 亨利枢纽天然气期货近月合约和连续合约均下跌2.21%,至每百万英热单位2.63美元。 价格延续了近期的疲软态势,市场越来越受供应基本面而非短期天气波动的影响。 据NRG能源公司称,天气模型持续预测,美国东部约三分之二地区的气温将持续低于正常水平,直至5月初,延续了4月下半月开始的降温趋势。 然而,分析师警告称,气温偏差预计不足以显著提振供暖需求或实质性地收紧供需平衡。 Trading Economics也持相同观点,指出考虑到春季的整体季节过渡,5月初气温略低于正常水平的预测不太可能大幅增加天然气消费量。 据NRG能源公司称,供应方面,美国天然气产量保持稳定,维持在每日1060亿立方英尺以上。尽管4月份产量有所下降,但过去22天日产量已下降38亿立方英尺,初步降至12周低点1083亿立方英尺/日,原因是持续低迷的价格促使部分生产商缩减生产规模。 尽管产量有所放缓,但供应依然充足。液化天然气出口原料气供应进一步走强,4月份迄今已从3月份的186亿立方英尺/日增至189亿立方英尺/日,超过了2月份创下的187亿立方英尺/日的月度纪录。 库存状况继续对价格构成额外压力。交易员预计周四公布的每周库存报告将显示库存增幅再次高于平均水平,这将是连续第五次高于五年平均水平。 Trading Economics表示,截至4月24日当周,美国天然气库存预计比季节性正常水平高出约8%,高于前一周的7%,反映出持续温和的天气和疲软的需求。 市场情绪依然受到强劲产量、库存上升以及天气带来的有限需求支撑的抑制,尽管间歇性寒潮来袭,但天然气价格仍面临持续的下行压力。

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