-- 周二盘后交易中,美国天然气期货价格涨跌互现,天气预报显示,气温将低于预期,并将持续到5月初,覆盖美国大部分地区。 近月亨利枢纽天然气合约下跌1.83%,至每百万英热单位2.679美元;而连续合约上涨0.16%,至每百万英热单位2.554美元。 尽管美国春季气温偏低的预测预示着5月初供暖需求可能增加,但6月合约在周二的常规交易时段仍出现下跌,不过连续合约受到支撑。 Barchart报道称,商品天气集团预计,到5月2日,美国大部分地区的气温将低于平均水平。 Gelber & Associates表示,气温偏低对需求增长起到了一定的支撑作用,但不足以引发全面的需求增长,并补充说,目前制冷需求仍然普遍不足。 供应方面,Gelber & Associates表示,天然气产量依然充足,为1098亿立方英尺/日,而加拿大进口量也保持在55亿立方英尺/日的高位,这表明尽管气温预测偏低,但市场仍有充足的天然气供应。 Barchart援引彭博新能源财经(BNEF)的数据称,天然气产量为1100亿立方英尺/日,同比增长3.1%;周二的需求量为724亿立方英尺/日,同比增长13.9%。 Gelber表示:“液化天然气出口工厂的天然气交付量是另一个需要关注的需求因素,由于部分出口需求尚未完全恢复,目前仍低于4月中旬的高点。” 据彭博新能源财经的数据,周二美国液化天然气出口终端的净流量估计为193亿立方英尺/日,环比下降3.9%。
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