-- 周四盘后交易中,美国天然气期货价格维持了早盘超过4%的涨幅,此前政府数据显示天然气库存增幅低于预期,引发市场空头回补。 近月亨利枢纽天然气合约和连续合约均上涨4.19%,结算价为每百万英热单位2.76美元。 美国能源信息署(EIA)报告称,截至4月24日当周,天然气库存增加790亿立方英尺。 此次增幅低于前一周的1030亿立方英尺,也低于去年同期的1050亿立方英尺。不过,这一增幅比五年平均增幅630亿立方英尺高出200亿立方英尺。分析师此前预期增幅将高达830亿立方英尺,因此公布的数据略低于预期。 库存增加推动天然气总工作量达到21420亿立方英尺(Bcf),比去年同期水平高出1160亿立方英尺,增幅约6%;比五年平均水平19890亿立方英尺高出1530亿立方英尺,增幅约8%,高于上周的7%。 分析师将价格反弹主要归因于仓位调整。FX Empire在一份报告中指出,交易员此前预期继上周三位数增幅之后,本周将出现另一波大幅增幅,而此次增幅较小引发了空头回补。 尽管周四有所上涨,但由于供应充足和季节性需求疲软,天然气价格近几个交易日一直承压。美国能源信息署(EIA)表示,截至4月29日当周,亨利枢纽天然气现货价格下跌16美分,至每百万英热单位(MMBtu)2.60美元。 然而,供应方面开始出现一些趋紧迹象。Gelber & Associates指出,美国天然气产量逐日下降,而加拿大进口量的减少也导致近期供需平衡趋紧。 据Barchart援引彭博新能源财经(BNEF)的数据,周四美国干气日产量为1105亿立方英尺,同比增长3.2%;需求量达到747亿立方英尺/日,同比增长9.6%。 出口方面,美国能源信息署(EIA)报告称,截至4月29日当周,美国通过35艘船舶出口液化天然气(LNG),出口量为1330亿立方英尺,较前一周减少10亿立方英尺。彭博新能源财经的数据显示,周四美国LNG出口终端的净流量平均为186亿立方英尺/日,环比下降5.7%。
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