-- 周二午盘交易中,美国天然气期货价格走低,疲软的需求和依然充裕的供应推高了市场对库存大幅增加的预期。 亨利枢纽天然气近月合约和连续合约均下跌1.87%,至每百万英热单位2.58美元。 据Liquidity Energy报道,美国能源信息署(EIA)将于周四发布的本周库存报告的初步预估显示,库存将增加500亿立方英尺,达到620亿立方英尺。相比之下,去年同期库存增加220亿立方英尺,而五年平均增幅为380亿立方英尺。 Liquidity Energy指出,近几周库存大幅上升,导致库存过剩量超过五年平均水平1000亿立方英尺。该公司援引一位市场观察人士的预测称,到4月底,库存过剩量将超过1500亿立方英尺。截至4月3日,库存过剩量为870亿立方英尺。 温和的天气抑制了天然气消费,取暖需求比正常水平低约15%。据Liquidity Energy援引Natural Gas Intelligence的数据,上周美国本土48州用于发电的天然气需求下降了4%。 NRG表示,其数据显示,美国天然气总消费量从上周二的约1150亿立方英尺/日降至约950亿立方英尺/日,同比下降31亿立方英尺/日。Aegis指出,居民和商业需求下降了7亿立方英尺/日,但电力消耗量增加14亿立方英尺/日,达到348亿立方英尺/日,抵消了这一降幅。 供应方面,产量有所放缓,但仍处于高位。Aegis Hedging表示,截至周二上午,美国天然气产量下降了约20亿立方英尺/日,其中德克萨斯州的产量下降了约10亿立方英尺/日,扭转了上周晚些时候的增幅,降至两周以来的最低水平。 NRG能源公司表示,近几日美国天然气总产量平均为1072亿立方英尺/日,低于此前高点,但仍比去年同期水平高出17亿立方英尺/日。 液化天然气出口终端的天然气流量保持稳定。Liquidity Energy公司表示,4月份美国九大液化天然气设施的原料气输送量平均为189亿立方英尺/日,接近产能,略高于3月份的水平。
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