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美国天然气最新动态:受温和天气预期和需求疲软影响,期货价格下调

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-- 周五盘后交易中,美国天然气期货价格小幅走低,原因是美国大部分地区气温偏暖的预测令市场对取暖需求预期承压。 亨利枢纽天然气近月合约和连续合约均下跌0.64%,至每百万英热单位2.653美元。 天气预报仍然是主要下行因素。预测机构商品天气集团(Commodity Weather Group)预测,4月19日之前,美国东部地区的气温将高于平均水平,这将降低季末取暖需求。 季节性的“过渡期”也对现货市场构成压力。美国能源信息署(EIA)表示,截至周三的一周内,亨利枢纽天然气现货价格下跌0.19美元,至每百万英热单位2.80美元,低于前一周的每百万英热单位2.99美元,原因是气温普遍偏高抑制了天然气消费。 需求指标也反映了疲软的市场状况。据Barchart援引彭博新能源财经(BNEF)的数据,美国本土48州(Lower 48)周五的天然气需求量估计为每日683亿立方英尺,同比下降9.7%。 供应方面,天然气产量环比小幅回升,总体产量水平依然强劲。NRG能源公司的数据显示,产量在本周早些时候从每日1086亿立方英尺降至1066亿立方英尺后,周五回升至每日1070亿立方英尺。Barchart援引的另一份BNEF数据显示,美国本土48州干气产量为每日1113亿立方英尺,同比增长3.9%。 液化天然气(LNG)需求依然强劲。NRG表示,原料气流量接近产能,估计为每日189亿立方英尺,反映出全球供需依然紧张。然而,出口量略有下降。据美国能源信息署(EIA)数据显示,截至4月8日当周,液化天然气(LNG)船共运输1410亿立方英尺(Bcf),由37艘油轮运输,较前一周减少80亿立方英尺和2艘油轮。 周四,EIA报告称,截至4月3日当周,LNG净增500亿立方英尺,与去年同期530亿立方英尺的增幅基本持平,但远高于五年平均增幅120亿立方英尺。总库存比去年同期高出890亿立方英尺,比五年历史平均水平高出870亿立方英尺。

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