-- 美国国家气象局周日表示,由于强风和极度干燥的天气状况,南部大平原部分地区将面临严重的火灾天气风险,而中部和南部平原地区可能出现强雷暴。 伴随雷暴天气,密西西比河谷地区可能在周一受到破坏性大风、大冰雹和强龙卷风的影响。 周一早些时候,美国国家气象局对德克萨斯州部分地区发布了红色预警,包括达尔哈特、杜马斯、博格、潘帕、阿马里洛、赫里福德、克拉伦登、加拿大、奇尔德里斯、格思里、迪米特、普莱恩维尤、利特菲尔德、莫顿、拉伯克、波斯特、马塔多尔和阿斯珀蒙特。这些城市位于Xcel Energy (XEL)、美国电力公司 (AEP) 的德克萨斯分公司以及森普拉能源公司 (SRE) 的子公司Oncor的服务区域内。 在新墨西哥州,该机构对拉顿、克莱顿、罗伊、拉斯维加斯、圣达菲、莫里亚蒂、圣罗莎、图库姆卡里、克洛维斯、波塔莱斯、鲁伊多索、克劳德克罗夫特、阿拉莫戈多和奥罗格兰德发布了类似的警告,这些地区的主要电力服务提供商是Xcel Energy和TXNM Energy(TXNM)旗下的PNM。 美国国家气象局(NWS)对堪萨斯州和密苏里州的部分地区发布了强雷暴和山洪暴发警告。Evergy(EVRG)和Algonquin Power & Utilities(AQN)旗下的Liberty电力公司都为这两个州供电,而Ameren(AEE)也通过其专门的电力部门为密苏里州供电。 在堪萨斯州,托皮卡、劳伦斯和莱文沃思以及密苏里州的普拉茨堡、奇利科西、卡罗尔顿、堪萨斯城、波普勒布拉夫和法明顿都发布了强雷暴警告。 与此同时,堪萨斯州曼哈顿、托皮卡、劳伦斯和莱文沃思的部分地区,以及密苏里州乔普林、黎巴嫩和罗拉周边地区发布了山洪暴发预警。 该机构对爱达荷州的雷克斯堡、里格比、阿科、爱达荷福尔斯、布莱克富特、波卡特洛、肖肖尼和伯利发布了冰冻预警,这些地区位于爱达荷电力公司(IDA)旗下的爱达荷电力公司和太平洋电力公司旗下的落基山电力公司的服务区域内。 美国国家气象局(NWS)对华盛顿州温斯罗普附近地区(由普吉特海湾能源公司供电)以及堪萨斯州保拉、密苏里州内华达奇利科西、沃伦斯堡、布恩维尔、哈里森维尔、克林顿和巴特勒附近的城市发布了洪水预警。 伊利诺伊州部分地区也处于同一预警之下,包括沃基根、罗克福德、奥罗拉、克林顿、坎顿、哈瓦那、昆西和杰克逊维尔。这些地区的主要电力供应商包括 Ameren 的伊利诺伊州子公司、Exelon (EXC) 旗下的 ComEd 以及 Berkshire Hathaway Energy (BRK.B) 旗下的 MidAmerican Energy。 该机构还对爱荷华州克林顿、达文波特、伯灵顿和基奥卡克附近的地区发布了类似的警告,这些地区主要由 Alliant Energy (LNT) 供电。 在威斯康星州,阿普尔顿、比弗丹、麦迪逊、基诺沙和简斯维尔附近的地区也发布了类似的警告。该州的主要电力供应商包括 Xcel Energy、Alliant Energy、MGE Energy (MGEE) 旗下的 Madison Gas and Electric 以及 WEC Energy (WEC) 的子公司 Wisconsin Public Service 和 We Energies。 在密歇根州,同样受到警告的地区包括佩托斯基、马尼斯蒂、卡拉马祖、霍顿、马凯特、铁山、梅诺米尼和纽伯里的部分地区,这些地区主要由 CMS Energy (CMS) 的 Consumers Energy、Upper Peninsula Power、Xcel Energy 和 WEC Energy 的子公司 Upper Michigan Energy Resources 和 We Energies 提供服务。
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Opinion On Shares Of P&g
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our 12-month price target by $7 to $136, based on 19.5x our FY 26 EPS estimate and below the company's five-year average forward P/E multiple of 23.6x, reflecting our view of increased competition, higher commodity prices, and ambitious growth targets. We maintain our FY 26 and FY 27 EPS estimates of $6.96 and $7.27, respectively. P&G posted normalized FQ3 EPS of $1.59 vs. $1.54 in the year prior and $0.03 above consensus estimates. Net sales rose to $21.2B, representing a 7% increase that included a 4%-pt tailwind from FX. Organic sales advanced 3%, driven equally by a 2% increase in volume and 1% improvement in pricing, while mix remained neutral. Profitability metrics came under pressure during the quarter as gross margin contracted by 150 bps to 49.5%. On a core basis, gross margin declined 100 bps to 50.0%, impacted by 180 bps of unfavorable mix, 100 bps of reinvestments, 50 bps of higher tariff costs, and 10 bps of unfavorable commodity costs. We remain at Sell on shares.
Crude Market Faces "Cruel Summer" as War-Driven Supply Shock Ripples West, RBC Says
The Middle East conflict is tightening global energy markets and raising the risk of a "cruel summer" for consumers, as constrained supply collides with peak seasonal demand and policymakers struggle to contain the fallout, RBC Capital Markets strategists said in a note on Sunday.RBC analysts said the conflict, now in its third month, has displaced up to 1 billion barrels of crude and refined products from global markets, marking what some analysts describe as the largest supply shock in modern history.However, despite intermittent ceasefire signals and market optimism around a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, negotiations between Iran and the US remain deadlocked.Iran has refused to abandon uranium enrichment, while the US has yet to secure meaningful concessions, with recent talks failing to materialize.RBC said for weeks the Trump administration has leaned on messaging that the conflict could end soon, helping cap near-term oil prices. However, market participants said that the narrative may be masking the severity of the supply crunch and delaying necessary demand destruction."The price response has been unusually muted given the scale of the disruption," RBC analysts said, adding that subdued prices risk fostering complacency among policymakers and consumers alike.The analysts said even in a best-case scenario, the return of Middle Eastern supply is expected to be slow. Damage to oil fields, export terminals, and logistics networks could take 3 to 6 months to repair, RBC said, with longer timelines likely if subsurface infrastructure has been severely damaged.Uncertainty over the true extent of the damage remains high, with satellite imagery offering only partial insights and on-the-ground assessments still pending.Meanwhile, global inventories are drawing down as supply remains constrained. RBC analysts expect crude and refined product prices to rise further into the summer, driven by steady demand and tightening fundamentals.Refinery margins are also set to strengthen, as limited product availability pushes up fuel prices. However, the dynamic carries risks, as higher costs could eventually trigger demand destruction and weigh on the global economy.Though Asia has been the epicenter of the crisis, the effects of the Iranian conflict are being felt in Europe, where energy import costs have surged.The European Union has spent an additional 24 billion euros ($28.1 billion) on fossil fuel imports since February, with aviation among the hardest-hit sectors.Major carriers, including Lufthansa, KLM, and Scandinavian Airlines, have collectively canceled tens of thousands of flights due to high fuel costs and route constraints. Some airlines said that fuel supplies are only secured through mid-May, raising the prospect of further disruptions.The conflict is also accelerating shifts in consumer behavior. Electric vehicle adoption is rising rapidly, with battery-electric registrations in Europe jumping in early 2026, while second-hand EV sales have surged in key markets.On the demand side, RBC said Asian governments are taking aggressive steps to curb energy consumption.South Korea has extended fuel price controls, while India has cut industrial LNG supplies by 20%. Bangladesh has introduced fuel rationing, and countries including the Philippines, Vietnam, and Sri Lanka have reinstated remote work policies and driving restrictions.China, the world's largest energy importer, appears better positioned to absorb the shock, having built up strategic reserves. However, its reliance on Middle Eastern supply, which accounts for more than half of its imports, leaves it exposed to prolonged disruption.RBC analysts said that the combination of steady demand, constrained supply, and limited price response could amplify the eventual market correction.The analysts said any additional disruptions, including refinery outages, export restrictions, or further attacks on energy infrastructure, could exacerbate shortages just as summer demand peaks.