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美国原油市场动态:伊朗-美国会谈成为关注焦点,期货结算价走低

-- 周五盘后交易中,原油期货价格走低,此前美国和伊朗代表团抵达伊斯兰堡,举行被视为对停火成功和霍尔木兹海峡重新开放至关重要的会谈。 近月西德克萨斯中质原油期货下跌2.29%,至每桶95.63美元;布伦特原油期货下跌1.63%,至每桶94.36美元。 美国和伊朗谈判团队周五抵达巴基斯坦进行和平谈判,但德黑兰坚持要求首先解决一些其认为需要优先解决的问题,这使得周末的会谈前景蒙上阴影。 伊朗议会议长穆罕默德·巴格尔·加利巴夫周五在X网站上发帖称:“双方共同商定的两项措施尚未得到落实:一是黎巴嫩停火,二是谈判开始前释放伊朗被冻结的资产。” 周二早些时候,特朗普总统宣布达成为期两周的停火协议后,随即派遣副总统万斯、特使史蒂夫·威特科夫以及女婿贾里德·库什纳前往巴基斯坦与伊朗官员会面。 周五,特朗普表示,伊朗人之所以还活着,“唯一的原因就是为了谈判”,同时指出德黑兰唯一掌握的筹码就是通过封锁霍尔木兹海峡来施加短期压力。 特朗普在社交媒体上发帖称:“伊朗人似乎没有意识到,除了利用国际水道对世界进行短期勒索之外,他们已经没有其他筹码了。他们今天还活着,唯一的原因就是为了谈判!” 荷兰国际集团(ING)的分析师表示,尽管特朗普对解决这场持续六周的冲突持乐观态度,但他威胁德黑兰不要在霍尔木兹海峡收取费用。 尽管停火协议中包含开放霍尔木兹海峡的条款,但伊朗仍然持续封锁霍尔木兹海峡,几乎完全关闭了该海峡的交通,特朗普对此表示不满。 周四,美国总统表示,由于霍尔木兹海峡的交通仍然受到很大限制,伊朗应该停止向过境船只收取通行费。 据媒体报道,伊朗正在考虑改变对过境船只征收通行费的方式,并提议强制要求以伊朗货币支付。 最新的航运数据显示,自4月8日停火生效以来,霍尔木兹海峡的船舶活动略有增加,但流量仍然远低于正常水平。MarineTraffic的数据显示,4月8日至9日共有14艘船只通过了该海峡,其中9艘于4月9日通过。 Kpler的策略师在周五的一份报告中指出,超过1.3亿桶原油和凝析油仍然滞留在约80艘满载原油的油轮上,其中大部分是超大型油轮(VLCC),包括沙特阿拉伯、伊拉克和阿联酋在内的主要出口国无法运输货物。 在供应方面,沙特阿拉伯周四表示,伊朗对其能源基础设施的袭击导致该国石油产能和东西输油管道的输送量分别减少了约 60 万桶/天和 70 万桶/天。

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