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美伊談判前景不明朗,股市盤下跌,油價上漲

-- 美國基準股指盤中走低,而油價則因華盛頓和伊朗之間新一輪談判前景不明朗而上漲。 週二午盤過後,標普500指數下跌0.4%,至7084.3點;那斯達克指數下跌0.3%,至24337.3點;道瓊工業指數下跌0.2%,至49339.2點。除能源和非必需消費品板塊外,所有板塊均下跌,其中房地產板塊跌幅最大。 西德州中質原油上漲4.7%,至每桶93.80美元;布蘭特原油上漲4.2%,至每桶99.52美元。 根據美國有線電視新聞網(CNN)週二援引消息人士報道,美國封鎖關鍵的霍爾木茲海峽加劇了華盛頓和伊朗之間第二輪談判的不確定性,而此前宣布的停火協議的最後期限也即將到來。據匿名消息人士向媒體透露,原定於當天稍早前往巴基斯坦的美國副總統萬斯仍在華盛頓參加會議。 根據美國消費者新聞與商業頻道(CNBC)報道,美國總統川普表示,美國「最終將與伊朗達成一項偉大的協議」以結束戰爭。據報道,他預計不會延長將於週三到期的停火協議。 美國公債殖利率盤中走高,10年期公債殖利率上漲4.4個基點至4.29%,2年期公債殖利率上漲6.3個基點至3.78%。 經濟方面,官方數據顯示,受中東衝突推高能源價格的影響,美國上月零售銷售額創下自2025年3月以來的最大增幅,主要原因是加油站消費激增。 傑富瑞在一份報告中指出:“我們預計,由於汽油價格上漲和汽車銷量回升,整體數據會非常亮眼,但其他類別的強勁表現令人驚訝。” “目前還沒有證據表明汽油價格上漲促使消費者在其他方面勒緊褲腰帶。” 美國房地產經紀人協會(NAR)的數據顯示,儘管抵押貸款利率上升,但3月份美國待售房屋數量仍超出預期。 NAR首席經濟學家勞倫斯·雲表示:“儘管抵押貸款利率上升,但3月份的房屋合約簽署量仍然上升,這表明住房需求被壓抑。更多的庫存供應將有助於將這種需求轉化為更多的房屋銷售。” 公司新聞方面,蘋果(AAPL)股價下跌2.6%,成為道瓊指數中表現最差的股票之一。這家iPhone製造商週一晚間宣布,蒂姆·庫克將卸任執行長一職,並轉任執行董事長,硬體工程資深人士約翰·特納斯將接任執行長。 週二,Tractor Supply(TSCO)股價盤中暴跌近11%,成為標普500指數中跌幅最大的股票。這家零售商公佈的第一季業績低於華爾街預期,原因是其寵物用品業務表現低於平均水準。 聯合健康集團 (UNH) 上調了全年盈利預期,這家健康保險巨頭第一季業績意外實現年度增長。該公司股價上漲 8.9%,成為標普 500 指數和道瓊指數中漲幅最大的股票。 D.R. Horton (DHI) 的第二財季業績好於預期,但這家房屋建築商下調了全年營收預期。該公司股價上漲 7.2%,位列標普 500 指數表現最佳股票之列。 黃金價格下跌 2.1%,至每盎司 4,730 美元;白銀價格下跌 4.1%,至每盎司 76.74 美元。

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Fortescue Faces Pressure From Iron Bridge Weakness, Green Energy Shift, Jefferies Says

Fortescue (ASX:FMG) reported softer quarterly performance alongside ongoing challenges at Iron Bridge and increased spending on non-core green energy projects, raising concerns over returns and valuation, Jefferies said in an April 24 note.The company reported a softer quarter due to seasonal and weather impacts, with solid performance from its Pilbara hematite operations offset by ongoing underperformance at the Iron Bridge magnetite project, which continues to face throughput and margin challenges and may struggle to justify its value.Jefferies noted that the company's $680 million investment in green energy capacity for third-party customers, such as industrial users and data centers, represents a strategic shift, but views it as non-core capital allocation that may justify a higher discount rate for its mining business until clearer returns emerge.The equity research firm said that the company's Pilbara system is nearing port capacity constraints, a "good problem" that may allow higher-margin hematite production to displace costlier Iron Bridge volumes, as the company reviews its portfolio, trims Iron Bridge output, and keeps overall shipment guidance broadly unchanged.The research firm added that the company remains financially solid with $4.2 billion in cash despite dividends and capital expenditure outflows and is expected to return to a net cash position longer term, but highlighted Iron Bridge uncertainty and higher green energy spending as risks, including a potential write-down, supporting a cautious outlook.Jefferies maintained an underperform rating on Fortescue and reduced the price target to AU$16.50 from AU$17.50.

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

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Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

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