-- 加拿大最新就業數據並無太大意外。羅森伯格研究公司在周五的勞動力調查(LFS)後表示,3月新增就業14100個,略低於先前普遍預期的15,000個。 研究指出,這僅彌補了2月份83900個就業崗位的驟減,並補充說:「只有當你認為『持平即成長』時,才有可能對這些數據做出積極的解讀,因為自去年6月以來,加拿大的就業形勢實際上已經停滯不前——這是自2020年底以來加拿大永遠不會經歷過的疲軟疫情結束」。 研究指出,繼2月全職就業機會銳減108,400個之後,上個月又減少了1,100個。羅森伯格指出,過去六個月全職職缺減少了4萬個,這本身就說明了許多問題。同時,勞動市場明顯轉向兼職就業,兼職職位同期增加了8萬多個。他也提到,失業率仍居高不下,達到6.7%,就業人口比率也停滯在60.6%。 就影響就業情勢的行業而言,研究指出,批發/零售業減少了6700個工作崗位,並且在過去五個月中有四個月出現下滑;酒店/餐飲業裁員1萬人,並且已經連續四個月出現下滑。羅森伯格指出,當面向消費者的產業如此大規模地裁員時,這無疑顯示加拿大市場的需求已經跌至谷底。 根據這項研究,銀行業看到了宏觀經濟多頭所看不到的一個有趣的矛盾:金融業在2月份裁員8700人之後,3月份又淨裁員11200人——這是自2023年9月以來,甚至更早的2020年4月以來,連續裁員幅度最大的一次。 可以說,如果有什麼是確定的,那就是加拿大經濟缺乏充滿活力的就業市場。事實上,用「僵化」來形容更為貼切。
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