-- 紐西蘭經濟研究所(NZIER)週二表示,受美以伊戰爭推高燃油價格、霍爾木茲海峽局勢不確定性加劇導致供應鏈中斷的影響,紐西蘭企業信心在3月季度有所下降。 NZIER季度商業意見調查(QSBO)顯示,經季節性調整後,僅有1%的企業預計未來幾個月整體經濟狀況將有所改善,較去年12月份季度的39%大幅下降。 企業本身的交易活動基本上持平,較上一季3%的降幅有所回升。相較之下,約9%的企業在本季裁員,另有5%的企業計畫在下一季進一步裁員,這主要是由於企業普遍計畫減少對廠房、設備和機械的投資。 該智庫在一份聲明中表示:“儘管企業在3月份季度的國內貿易活動保持穩定,但美以持續不斷的伊朗戰爭對新西蘭經濟去年底初見端倪的脆弱復甦構成風險。” 各行業的情緒不一,其中建築業企業最為悲觀,28%的企業預期經濟前景將惡化。製造業企業則最樂觀,34%的企業預計情況會有所改善。 紐西蘭經濟研究所(NZIER)仍認為,紐西蘭央行將在7月首次升息25個基點,開啟其緊縮週期。
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