-- 米国の天然ガス先物価格は、堅調な貯蔵量データと、イランと米国の和平交渉における進展報道を受け、金曜日に約3%下落した。 ヘンリーハブ先物(期近限月)とヘンリーハブ先物(期近限月)はともに2.54%下落し、100万英熱量当たり2.69ドルとなった。トレーディング・エコノミクスのデータによると、この指標価格は週を通して5.32%下落する見込みだ。 この動きは、米国エネルギー情報局(EIA)が木曜日に発表した週間天然ガス貯蔵量報告書によると、4月17日までの週に予想を上回る1,030億立方フィートの貯蔵量増加があり、総貯蔵量が2,0630億立方フィートに達したことを受けてのものだ。 Investing.comがまとめたデータによると、これは960億立方フィートの増加を予想していた市場予測を上回り、前週の590億立方フィート、前年同期の880億立方フィートを大幅に上回った。 米国の天然ガス在庫は現在1420億立方フィート(Bcf)で、前年同期比7%増、過去5年間の同時期の平均在庫も同じく7%増の1370億立方フィートとなっており、市場にとって非常に弱気な在庫増加を示している。 パインブルック・エナジー・アドバイザーズによると、今週の在庫増加は「シーズン序盤としては過去最大」であり、ここ数週間の天候による需要減少が原因としている。 しかし、気象予報はここ数日で一転し、米国国立気象局によると、5月1日から7日にかけて、米国のほぼ半分の地域で平年を下回る気温となる見込みだ。 地政学的な面では、ロイター通信がパキスタン当局者3人の話として報じたところによると、イランのセイエド・アッバス・アラグチ外相がパキスタンのイスラマバードに向かっていると伝えられており、米国の兵站・警備チームは既に現地入りし、次回の和平交渉に備えている。 両陣営とも今のところ公式発表はしていないものの、これは数日間にわたる不確実性の高まりを経て、紛争の大幅な沈静化を示すものとなる。
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