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米国原油最新情報:米イラン衝突とUAE攻撃で供給リスクが高まり、原油価格が上昇

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-- 金曜日の正午の取引で、原油先物価格は小幅上昇した。米国とイランの緊張の高まりと、イランによるアラブ首長国連邦(UAE)へのミサイル攻撃が、中東における供給途絶の可能性への懸念を煽ったためだ。 期近のWTI原油先物価格は0.78%上昇し、1バレル95.55ドルとなった。一方、ブレント原油先物価格は1.06%上昇し、1バレル101.12ドルとなった。 UAE国防省は金曜日、イランから発射された弾道ミサイル2発とドローン3機を迎撃したと発表した。イランがUAEに向けて発砲したのは今週3度目となる。 木曜日、ホルムズ海峡で米イラン両海軍が交戦し、双方が相手側が攻撃を開始したと主張した。 金曜日、米海軍はイランの港湾封鎖に違反したイランの石油タンカー2隻(M/T Sea Star IIIとM/T Sevda)を攻撃し、航行不能にした。 「米中央軍は、オマーン湾のイラン港に入港しようとしていたイラン船籍の空荷タンカー2隻に対し、海上封鎖措置を実施した」と、中央軍はX日付の声明で発表した。 この攻撃は、米イラン両軍がホルムズ海峡で夜間に攻撃を応酬した直後の出来事である。「ホルムズ海峡は事実上閉鎖されたままであり、米イラン両軍の衝突が再燃したことで、近い将来に再開できる見込みは低くなっている」と、サクソバンクのストラテジストは述べ、国際エネルギー機関(IEA)は、この地域の供給損失を日量約1400万バレルと推定していると付け加えた。 カナダのトロントで開催された政策会議で、IEAのファティ・ビロル事務局長は木曜日、加盟国が3月に4億バレルの原油放出に合意したことを受け、IEAはさらなる措置を講じる用意があると述べた。 一方、世界の石油市場の注目は、2月に中東紛争が勃発して以来、事実上閉鎖されているホルムズ海峡に集まっている。 イラン革命防衛隊は、オマーン湾で「問題を起こした」石油タンカー「オーシャン・コイ」を拿捕したと発表した。同船は海上交通法違反を犯し、イランの石油輸出を妨害しようとした疑いがあるという。 地元メディアが引用したイラン海軍の声明によると、「イラン・イスラム共和国軍の海軍特殊部隊は、特殊作戦中に違反行為を行った石油タンカー『オーシャン・コイ』を拿捕した」とのこと。同船は「石油輸出とイラン国民の利益を妨害しようとしていた」としている。 米国は、紛争終結に向けた最新の提案に対するイランの回答を金曜日中に期待している。 トランプ大統領は、ホルムズ海峡での衝突にもかかわらず、イランとの停戦は依然として有効であると主張し、銃撃戦を「軽い接触」と表現したと報じられている。マルコ・ルビオ米国務長官もローマで記者団に対し、ワシントンは「今日中に何らかの進展を期待している」と述べた。 「世界で最も重要な石油輸送の要衝で激しい取引が行われているにもかかわらず、現在の価格変動は驚くほど穏やかだと考えている」と、SEBリサーチの商品アナリスト、オレ・R・フヴァルビー氏は金曜日のメモで述べた。

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