-- バイオ燃料原料先物価格は、米国とイランが和平合意に近づいているとの報道を受け、木曜日に売りが続き、下落して取引を終えた。 シカゴ商品取引所(CBOT)の7月限大豆先物契約は0.21%安の1ブッシェル当たり11.92ドルで引け、7月限大豆油先物契約は1.16%安の1ポンド当たり74.15セントで引けた。 水曜日には、ニューヨーク・マーカンタイル取引所(NYMEX)の6月限エタノール先物契約が2.96%安の1ガロン当たり1.97ドルで取引を終えた。 米国は木曜日、「プロジェクト・フリーダム」作戦を再開し、海軍と空軍の支援を受けてホルムズ海峡を航行する商船を誘導すると発表した。 DTNのアナリスト、レット・モンゴメリー氏は、大豆市場は3日連続で下落したが、7月限先物価格が50日移動平均線である11.89ドルを下回る動きを見せたところで、一定の支持を得たと述べた。 「大豆市場は、最近の寒波による発芽作物への霜害の可能性に関する報告を注視するだろう。米国農務省(USDA)によると、週初めの時点で発芽率は13%となっている。それ以外では、来週のWASDE(世界農業需給予測)を除けば、トランプ大統領の中国訪問が、市場にとって短期的に最も重要な出来事となる可能性が高い」と、モンゴメリー氏は日報で述べた。 4月30日までの週について、米国農務省は、2025~2026年度の大豆輸出量が520万ブッシェル(14万1900トン)増加し、2026~2027年度は20万ブッシェル(5500トン)増加すると報告した。 先週の輸出量は1950万ブッシェルで、USDAが2025~2026年度に予測する15億4000万ブッシェルの輸出量を達成するために必要な週当たりの1750万ブッシェルを上回った。大豆の輸出契約量は、2025~2026年で合計14億3000万バレルとなり、前年同期比で18%減少した。
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