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米国バイオ燃料最新情報:利益確定売りで大豆先物価格が下落、大豆油先物価格は乖離

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-- バイオ燃料原料先物市場は火曜日、まちまちの展開で取引を終えた。作物生育状況報告で大きなサプライズが見られなかったことを受け、全体的な取引テーマは利益確定売りだった。 シカゴ商品取引所(CBOT)の7月限大豆先物契約は0.92%安の1ブッシェル当たり12.11ドルで引けた一方、7月限大豆油先物契約は0.50%高の1ポンド当たり76.91セントで引けた。 月曜日には、ニューヨーク・マーカンタイル取引所(NYMEX)の6月限エタノール先物契約が0.73%安の1ガロン当たり2.05ドルで取引を終えた。 概して、米国当局はイランによる米軍艦艇への攻撃を軽視する姿勢を示した。 DTNのアナリスト、レット・モンゴメリー氏は、トレーダーが最近の買い持ちポジションの利益確定売りを行ったため、大豆市場は月曜日に付けた6週間ぶりの高値から下落したと述べた。 「製品市場では、大豆油先物価格が驚異的な9営業日連続の上昇を記録し、エネルギー市場の低迷をものともしなかった」とモンゴメリー氏は日報で述べた。 同氏はさらに、大豆市場は5月という重要な局面を迎える可能性があると指摘し、「大豆、大豆粕、大豆油といった大豆関連商品の非商業トレーダーは、先週火曜日の時点で先物取引において50万枚を超えるネットロングポジションを保有しており、これは2020年末に記録した過去最高値をわずかに下回る水準だ」と述べた。 一方、米国農務省は月曜日、5月3日時点で米国の大豆作付面積の33%が植え付けられたと発表した。これは5月初旬の過去5年間の平均作付面積を大幅に上回り、2025年の同時期と比較してもやや先行している。発芽率は13%となっている。

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