-- 原油価格は水曜日に急騰し、ブレント原油は1カ月ぶりの高値をつけた。これは、米国がイラン港湾封鎖の延長を計画しているとの報道を受けたものだ。 ブレント原油は直近で3.2%上昇し1バレル114.76ドル、ウエスト・テキサス・インターミディエイト（WTI）原油は3.5%上昇し1バレル103.40ドルとなった。ロイター通信は水曜日のウォール・ストリート・ジャーナル紙の報道を引用し、ドナルド・トランプ米大統領が側近に対し封鎖延長の準備をするよう指示したと報じた。 同報道によると、イランとの戦争は停戦合意に至ったものの、和平交渉が停滞しているため、この措置は中東における供給途絶を長期化させるだろう。 ロイター通信は、海通先物証券のアナリスト、ヤン・アン氏の「最近の原油価格上昇は、海峡封鎖が原因だ。トランプ大統領が封鎖延長に踏み切れば、供給途絶はさらに悪化し、原油価格を押し上げ続けるだろう」との見解を引用した。報告書によると、投資家はアラブ首長国連邦（UAE）の石油輸出国機構（OPEC）脱退発表による市場への影響を消化している。しかし、アナリストは現時点では短期的な大きな影響はないと見ている。 ロイター通信はANZリサーチのレポートを引用し、「UAEのOPECプラス脱退は、OPECプラスの結束力の弱体化を正式なものにするものだが、短期的な影響は限定的だ」と報じた。「今回の動きは長年にわたる生産割当をめぐる緊張関係を反映しているが、価格は依然として制度変更よりも地政学、在庫、物流といった要因によって左右されている」としている。
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