-- 米経済分析局(BEA)が木曜日に発表した第3次速報値によると、米経済は第4四半期に従来予想よりも緩やかな成長率となり、個人消費の伸びが鈍化した。 実質国内総生産(GDP)は12月期に年率換算で0.5%増加し、第2次速報値の0.7%増から減速した。ブルームバーグがまとめた調査では、成長率は修正されないとの見方が大勢を占めていた。 政府データによると、この最終値は3四半期ぶりの低成長率となり、前四半期の4.4%増から低下した。この報告は昨年の米連邦政府機関閉鎖の影響で遅れて発表された。 個人消費支出(個人消費)の伸び率は、従来発表された2%増から1.9%増に下方修正された。ウォール街のアナリストは、この数値も変更されないと予想していた。 「(第4四半期の)GDP下方修正は、変動の大きい在庫項目が要因であるため、大きな懸念材料ではない」と、オックスフォード・エコノミクスの米国担当チーフエコノミスト、マイケル・ピアース氏はMTニュースワイヤーズに電子メールで送ったコメントの中で述べた。「より適切な経済活動の指標である国内総所得と民間企業の国内総生産は、昨年末時点で経済の中核が依然として健全なペースで拡大していることを示している」。 第4四半期の総合PCEインフレ率は2.9%で据え置かれた。変動の大きい食品とエネルギー項目を除いたコアPCEインフレ率も2.7%で据え置かれたことが公式データで示された。 報告書によると、2025年の実質GDP成長率は2.1%で、以前の予測と同じ水準だった。 米商務省経済分析局(BEA)は木曜日に発表した別の報告書で、実質個人消費がわずかに増加したことを受け、2月の米国のインフレ率は前期比で加速したと述べた。アナリストは、中東紛争の波及効果により、物価上昇圧力が強まると予想している。
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