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FINWIRES

研究警示:CFRA维持对TC能源公司股票的卖出评级

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-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:我们12个月的目标价为71加元,上调5加元,该目标价综合考虑了相对估值和现金流折现模型(DCF)分析。相对估值方面,我们采用12倍的企业价值倍数对2027年预计EBITDA进行估值,与TRP的历史平均水平一致。这种方法得出每股价值为73加元。同时,我们的DCF模型假设未来10年自由现金流年增长率为10%,之后为2.5%,并以5.7%的加权平均资本成本(WACC)进行折现,得出每股内在价值为69加元。我们将2026年每股收益(EPS)预期下调0.18加元至3.63加元,并将2027年每股收益预期下调0.12加元至3.78加元。我们认为TRP的项目储备依然强劲,新项目投入运营方面也进展顺利。尽管如此,我们认为其股价估值已经偏高,EBITDA较TRP历史平均水平溢价15%,预期现金流溢价29%。以目前的股价来看,我们认为股价很难出现超出预期的上涨空间。

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