-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點摘要如下:我們維持PHM未來12個月的目標價為110美元,相當於2026年每股盈餘預期10.04美元的11倍。我們的預期本益比高於歷史平均水平,這一估值是基於其多元化業務、規模以及美國住房短缺的現狀。我們將2026年每股收益預期從10.46美元下調至10.04美元,並將2027年每股收益預期從11.84美元下調至11.21美元。儘管PHM策略性地轉向按訂單生產模式旨在提高利潤率,但我們認為其市場份額和房屋銷量短期內將出現萎縮,而市場低估了這一萎縮幅度。此外,優質地塊的競爭可能會進一步加劇這一挑戰,推高土地成本,並削弱按訂單生產模式旨在實現的收益。因此,我們認為該公司2027年的營收預期過於樂觀,與其按訂單生產模式的實際表現相比仍有差距,可能需要下調利潤率預期。鑑於股價似乎已經反映了長期房屋短缺的預期,我們認為投資者忽略了執行風險,導致目前的風險/回報比並不理想。
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