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研究报告:CFRA 将 Expedia Group 股票评级从“卖出”上调至“持有”。

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-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:我们将12个月目标价上调12美元至252美元,相当于我们2026年每股收益预期的13倍(市盈率不变),低于EXPE过去五年平均市盈率21倍,这一折让是基于消费者支出和竞争风险的考量。我们将2026年每股收益预期从18.51美元上调至19.41美元,并将2027年每股收益预期从20.38美元上调至22.18美元。我们上调预期反映了第一季度总预订量增长强劲(同比增长13%),尽管受到伊朗冲突的影响,市场波动较大。管理层重申了其2026年总预订量增长6%-8%的预期,考虑到北美世界杯可能带来的旅游增长,这一预期较为保守。此外,该公司在销售和营销方面的杠杆作用显著(同比下降400个基点)。如果EXPE能够实现其毛预订量预期并保持运营杠杆,我们认为其在2026年实现两位数低段每股收益增长的路径较为合理。我们认为,目前该股股价低于五年平均水平,风险/回报更为平衡。因此,我们将评级从“卖出”上调至“持有”。

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