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研究报告:CFRA 将 Enphase Energy, Inc. 股票评级从“卖出”上调至“持有”。

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-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:我们将ENPH的目标股价下调5美元至35美元,相当于2026年每股收益预期值的17.5倍。鉴于太阳能需求疲软和监管阻力,这一估值低于ENPH五年平均水平(约27倍)。我们将2026年和2027年的每股收益预期分别下调0.31美元至2.00美元和2.40美元。美国太阳能需求持续恶化,预计第一季度和第二季度的销售量将比管理层此前的预期低约15%。我们认为,随着住宅用户转向第三方购买(TPO)模式,监管摩擦正在发挥作用,而且这些阻力在短期内可能会持续存在。然而,我们预计随着房主逐渐接受新的产品和服务,TPO模式将在2027年获得市场认可。与此同时,我们预计欧洲的电池需求将有所改善,目前多个市场的电池激活量已有所回升,而霍尔木兹海峡的关闭加剧了人们对电力系统韧性的担忧。此外,我们认为ENPH专注于数据中心的新平台(IQ SSTs)具有长期增长潜力,尽管市场竞争激烈,但其收入有望在2028年实现。

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