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研究报告提醒:CFRA 将 Polestar Automotive Holding 的评级从“卖出”下调至“强烈卖出”。

-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:基于现金流折现分析,我们将PSNY的12个月目标价从8美元下调至5美元,这意味着该目标价高于有形账面价值。由于销量下降和成本上升的假设,我们调整后的EBITDA预期略有下降,因为我们现在假设PSNY在2026年的销量仅增长3%。PSNY第四季度净亏损7.99亿美元,远低于市场普遍预期的4.52亿美元,但高于2024年第四季度的11.83亿美元。更重要的是,展望未来,管理层的业绩指引较为谨慎,尽管他们仍然预计其全球零售销量将在2025年实现两位数低增长,达到60,119辆。考虑到全球电动汽车销量增长放缓,我们认为这一指引可能过于乐观。尽管如此,尽管12月进行了1比30的反向股票分割,该公司股价近期表现依然优异。我们预计现金消耗将持续高企,若无沃尔沃/吉利汽车控股有限公司(175港元,25****)或其他方面的额外支持,则重组风险将会增加。我们预测该公司2026年的自由现金流为-12亿美元,而2025年为-13.7亿美元。

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