-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师总结如下:UPS公布了2026年第一季度业绩,营收为212亿美元(同比下降1.6%,高于市场预期1.1%),调整后每股收益为1.07美元(同比下降28.2%,高于市场预期4.9%)。尽管UPS采取了转型措施,但其整体销量同比下降7.8%,降幅远超亚马逊的降幅。调整后营业利润率下降200个基点至6.2%。由于单件成本(同比增长9.5%)超过单件收入增长(同比增长6.5%),国内业务利润率下降320个基点。UPS通过网络重构和效率提升计划在第一季度实现了6亿美元的成本节约,预计全年将实现30亿美元的成本节约。管理层维持了2026年营收897亿美元和调整后营业利润率9.6%的预期,并预计第二季度运营将出现拐点。鉴于成功的定价策略,我们认为营收预期是合理的,单件营收同比增长7.7%,但利润率预期可能过于乐观。我们预计伊朗冲突导致的燃油附加费将有助于抵消柴油/航空燃油成本的上涨,但由于消费者对价格上涨的接受度较高,销量可能进一步下滑。
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