-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下： KKR公布了强劲的2026年第一季度业绩，运营收益为每股1.47美元，同比增长19%；费用相关收益为10亿美元（每股1.13美元），同比增长24%，主要得益于管理费增长30%至12亿美元。总资产管理规模达到7580亿美元，同比增长14%；其中，支付费用的资产管理规模为6150亿美元，同比增长17%。我们认为，该公司高于成本的2860亿美元合格资产管理规模提供了可持续的盈利潜力，同时，整体业绩表现良好，市盈率在过去12个月上涨了10%，实物资产和信贷业务均实现了稳健增长。对Arctos Partners的战略收购为KKR新增了160亿美元的体育资产管理规模，并确立了KKR Solutions这一新的业务线。我们认为KKR每季度220亿美元的投资活动和过去12个月累计970亿美元的资本投入，都体现了其强大的市场地位。该公司拥有稳健的资产负债表，现金及投资总额达130亿美元，同时通过将股息提高5%至每股0.195美元以及3.17亿美元的股票回购（辅以强化后的自动回购计划）来回馈大量资本。
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Research
Research Alert: Hog: Eps A Penny Short Of Consensus; Prior 2026 Guidance Maintained
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Harley-Davidson (HOG) posted Q1 EPS of $0.22 vs. $1.07 (-79%), a penny short of consensus. The miss was due to weaker-than-expected margins, as motorcycle revenue fell 2% to $1.06B ($60M ahead of consensus), led by a 3% drop in motorcycle shipments. The core Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) segment, representing the company's traditional motorcycle business, experienced a dramatic 84% decline in operating income to $19M despite revenue being down only 2%. This operating leverage deterioration was led by gross margin compression of 390 bps to 25.3%. The company maintained prior 2026 guidance, which suggests no further deterioration is anticipated from the current levels. HOG shares are trading 1% higher in early trading on Tuesday. We think some investors were hopeful that HOG might be turning a corner, but it is clear the company has more challenges ahead, as it continues its long-term struggle against the global secular decline in motorcycle demand.
$HOG
International
ISM US April Services Index Posts Larger-Than-Expected Decrease
The Institute for Supply Management's US services index declined to a reading of 53.6 in April from 54.0 in March, compared with expectations for a smaller decrease to a reading of 53.7 in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.There were mixed readings for other regional Federal Reserve bank measures already released while the S&P Global measure indicated expansion.There were increases in the readings for production and employment, but new orders and inventories declined. The prices paid reading held steady.The monthly national services reading from the Institute for Supply Management is reported as a headline index, with readings above 50 indicating expansion and those below 50 indicating contraction. Component indexes measure new orders, production, employment, and prices.An increase in the index further above 50 is considered a sign of a strong US services sector and would be a positive for service-sector stocks. Rising prices would normally be a negative for both stocks and bonds.
Commodities
US Natural Gas Update: Futures Down Amid Easing Domestic Demand, Milder Temperatures
US natural gas futures were down on Tuesday after four straight days of gains, amid forecasts of further declines in domestic demand and milder near-term temperatures.Both the front-month Henry Hub contract and the continuous contract were down 0.98% to $2.83 per million British thermal units.Total natural gas demand is expected to fall by 4.0 billion cubic feet on Tuesday, to 95.4 Bcf per day, according to NRG Energy, which attributed the decline to milder weather and colder-than-average temperatures, leading to lower residential and commercial demand.LNG export feedgas is also expected to decline to 17.3 Bcf per day, significantly below the 30-day moving average of 19.38 Bcf.The Energy Buyer's Guide echoed similar views, noting that cooler-than-normal temperatures will persist throughout the eastern two-thirds of the country over the next two weeks, while the west is expected to be warmer-than-normal, both of which, it said, will lead to subdued natural gas demand in the near-term.