-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:我们采用经调整的股权风险溢价和29.2倍的预期市盈率(基于运营收益的三年历史平均市盈率为30.4倍),将目标股价上调18美元至73美元。我们将2026年每股收益预期下调0.32美元至2.50美元,并将2027年每股收益预期下调0.67美元至4.00美元,略低于市场普遍预期。我们预测2026年和2027年营收分别为26.6亿美元和29.4亿美元。LPX在2026年第一季度受原油价格波动的影响甚微。这既反映了该公司供应链和运营团队的短期灵活性,也体现了其众多战略供应合同的长期算法结构。我们预计货运价格将小幅上涨,考虑到柴油价格对原油供应中断的反应速度之快,这并不令人意外。总体而言,管理层表示,2026年第一季度通胀影响甚微。LPX在2026年与美国一些最大的住宅建筑商达成了两项新的合作协议,我们预计未来还将有更多合作达成。
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Sector Update: Health Care
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New Home Listings Growth Outpaces Sales For First Time in 2026, Zillow Says
New for-sale home listings in the US grew at a faster rate annually than sales for the first time this year as elevated mortgage rates stalled recovery, Zillow Group (Z, ZG) said Wednesday.New listings rose 2.1% year over year to 426,356 units in April, while sales eased 0.4% to 323,631 units, according to the real estate marketplace. Active inventory increased 3.7% last month, putting the total number of for-sale homes at 1.3 million."The spring rebound we anticipated at the start of the year and that produced the stronger sales figures in March was put on pause in April by higher rates," Zillow Chief Economist Mischa Fisher said. "Still, someone who held off in 2025 hoping conditions would improve has seen that improvement."Last week, the average interest rate for 30-year fixed mortgages with conforming loan balances of $832,750 or less increased to 6.45% from 6.37% sequentially, a report by the Mortgage Bankers Association showed Wednesday.The monthly mortgage payment on a typical home in the US dropped 3.4% annually to $1,829 last month, while home values rose 0.7% to $366,712, Zillow said.The share of listings with a price reduction was 23.5% in April, down one percentage point from a year earlier, but up 0.9 percentage point sequentially.Despite the recent rise in mortgage rates, buyers who waited out the market of 2025 are entering on slightly better terms this spring, with more options, improved affordability and a little more decision time, according to Zillow."With more homes to choose from and lower monthly costs than a year ago, the math has shifted in favor of buyers even if the moment may not feel like it," Fisher said. "There's still plenty of reason for optimism that we will see a quick rebound if rates cooperate."On Tuesday, government data showed that new-home sales in the US grew past Wall Street's estimates for March, driven by a demand surge in the Northeast region.Price: $44.82, Change: $+1.28, Percent Change: +2.94%
Sector Update: Consumer
Consumer stocks were higher late Wednesday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) up 0.4% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) rising 1.9%.In corporate news, Restaurant Brands International's (QSR) Q1 earnings and revenue topped Wall Street's estimates Wednesday, while the restaurant operator's comparable sales growth was in line with consensus. Its shares were down 5.9%.