-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:在发布第一季度财报后,我们维持对IP未来12个月26美元的目标价。该目标价基于6.7倍的EV/EBITDA(企业价值/息税折旧摊销前利润),低于IP五年平均水平8.0倍(一个标准差,即1.3倍)。我们将2026年每股收益预期从1.92美元下调至1.83美元,并维持2027年每股收益预期2.99美元不变。IP公布的第一季度业绩喜忧参半,每股收益超出预期(0.15美元,市场普遍预期为0.14美元),但营收不及预期(59.7亿美元,市场预期为60.1亿美元),因此该公司将2026年全年EBITDA预期从之前的预期下调至32亿至35亿美元。北美地区的业绩预期修正为23.5亿至25亿美元,欧洲、中东和非洲地区的业绩预期修正为9亿至10亿美元。公司预计,受价格传导效应(净增50美元/吨)、季节性销量回升、成本控制措施以及维护停工恢复正常等因素的推动,北美地区下半年业绩将显著改善6.5亿美元。而欧洲、中东和非洲地区则面临短期利润率压缩,之后随着能源价格上涨(100欧元/吨)传导至包装合同,利润率将出现三至六个月的滞后,才会开始回升。
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