-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下：我们维持12个月目标价92美元，市盈率为12.6倍，基于未来12个月每股收益预期7.34美元。我们将2026年每股收益预期下调0.06美元至7.00美元，2027年每股收益预期下调0.44美元至7.52美元。第一季度业绩表现积极，营收和利润均超出预期，国际利润也优于预期（-15.7% vs. -30.0%）。管理层维持2026年营收897亿美元和调整后营业利润率9.6%的预期，并预计第二季度运营将出现拐点。我们认为营收目标合理，但利润率目标过于乐观，因为我们预计第二季度至第四季度平均利润率约为10.7%。美国消费者支出趋势表明，在伊朗冲突爆发前，消费回落的迹象就已经出现，我们预计这一趋势将会加速。B2B交易量下降（-5.1%）表明行业疲软。我们认为，随着消费者对价格上涨的接受度降低，通过燃油附加费进行成本回收将无法有效保障利润。利润率持续下降可能会对分红的可行性造成压力，因为我们对2026年每股收益的预期意味着约94%的派息率。
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