-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下：我们将目标价下调9美元至44美元，预期市盈率为20.5倍，低于三年历史平均市盈率23.7倍和五年历史平均市盈率25.2倍（基于正常化收益）。由于需求下降，我们将2026年营收预期下调至164亿美元（此前为163亿美元），并将2027年营收预期下调至170亿美元（此前为174亿美元）。我们认为，TSCO面临着来自交易量下降、伴侣动物产品类别结构性挑战（同比下降100个基点）以及持续关税压力（尽管采取了成本控制措施，但仍在压缩利润率）的重大运营阻力。营运资本效率有所下降，存货周转率从3.00倍降至2.92倍，同时2026年第一季度经营现金流下降58%，这引发了人们对在同店销售增长乏力的情况下，能否持续保持激进资本回报的担忧。然而，该公司仍保持着稳健的资产负债表、强劲的新店开店率（65%-70%）以及核心C.U.E.品类的稳健表现，这为消费者需求企稳后的复苏奠定了基础。
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.
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Equities
Petro Rabigh Emerges From Loss in Q1; Revenue Grows
Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, said Sunday it swung back to profit in the first quarter of 2026, while revenue increased year over year.Net profit attributable to shareholders of the issuer for the three months ended March 31 was 1.47 billion Saudi riyals, compared with the attributable loss of 691 million riyals earlier. EPS moved to 0.88 riyal from a loss per share of 0.41 riyal.The Tadawul-listed oil refining and petrochemical company's revenue was 14.85 billion riyals, compared with 11.21 billion riyals a year ago.
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Research
Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We trim our 12-month target price by $8 to $155, valuing HIG shares at 11.3x our 2026 operating EPS estimate of $13.75 (cut by $0.45) and at 10.6x our 2027 EPS estimate of $14.65 (cut by $0.30), vs. the shares' one-year average forward multiple of 10.3x and peer average of 13x. Q1 EPS of $3.09 vs. $2.20 a year ago missed our $3.60 estimate and $3.39 consensus view. Operating revenue growth of 6.2% was in line with our 6%-10% forecast, amid 5.3% earned premium growth, 13% higher net investment income, and 7.9% fee revenue growth. Q1 written premium growth of 4% and full-year 2025 growth of 7% bode well for 2026 revenue trends as premiums are earned. Underwriting results improved significantly, with Personal Lines combined ratio improving to 87.7% from 106.1% and underlying combined ratio to 85.0% from 89.7%. Business Insurance combined ratio was stable at 94.8%. Weighing the Q1 EPS miss with HIG's decent top-line growth and discounted valuation to peers, we view the shares as undervalued.
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