-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师总结如下：我们下调目标价5美元至125美元，采用更窄的股权风险溢价以反映对未来基金业绩的担忧，并将预期市盈率设定为19.8倍，接近五年历史平均水平19.0倍，但低于三年平均水平21.8倍。公开市场的波动导致投资者对KKR股票的情绪因市场不确定性而转为负面。KKR的财务业绩是多年前决策的结果，因此，其投资组合构建、风险规避和整体纪律应能使其基本面免受当前市场担忧的影响。然而，我们认为私募股权投资的变现可能需要更长时间。我们预计2026年和2027年的调整后净利润分别下调0.55美元至6.30美元和7.50美元，预计营收分别为101亿美元（此前为105亿美元）和115亿美元（此前为126亿美元）。我们认为，大型全球投资者正在将投资集中于少数另类投资公司（ALT公司），KKR便是其中之一。尽管负面新闻不断，但我们认为KKR已做好充分准备，一旦市场回暖，便可加速其变现。
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Sector Update: Energy
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March Trade Deficit Widens as Imports Outpace Record Exports
The US trade deficit grew in March as imports outpaced record-high exports, government data showed Tuesday.The goods and services deficit widened 4.4% sequentially to $60.31 billion in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis said. The consensus was for a deficit of $61 billion in a Bloomberg-compiled survey.Exports increased 2% to $320.86 billion in March -- the highest on record -- with the goods component also reaching an all-time high, according to the official data. Imports jumped 2.3% to $381.17 billion."March's trade data point to solid underlying domestic demand," BMO Capital Markets Senior Economist Priscilla Thiagamoorthy said in a note. "Still, that strength is pulling in imports fast enough to widen the trade gap."The strength in exports was concentrated in energy-related goods amid the US-Israel war with Iran instead of "sturdy, broad-based" global demand, Thiagamoorthy said. Autos were a "key" driver of imports growth, while consumer goods and capital goods also logged strong gains, she said.The Iran war, which started at the end of February, sent energy prices surging amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows. US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reportedly said Tuesday a recent ceasefire with Iran remains intact.The US ran a $20.6 billion deficit in goods trade with Taiwan in March, compared with a $21.12 billion gap the month prior, official data showed. The deficit with China grew to $14.01 billion from $13.09 billion. The goods trade deficit with the European Union swelled to $9.24 billion from February's $5.09 billion. The shortfall with Vietnam grew to $19.24 billion from $16.55 billion.In the year through March, the goods and services deficit dropped 55% year over year, according to the report.