-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师总结如下:我们将目标股价下调5美元至210美元,市盈率为21.9倍,而其三年历史平均远期市盈率为32.0倍。我们将2026年每股收益预期从8.48美元上调至8.54美元,并维持2027年9.60美元的预期不变。尽管EFX第一季度业绩强劲超出预期,但该公司仍维持全年业绩指引,这一保守举措反映了新的宏观经济不确定性。虽然EFX上调了2500万美元的营收预期和0.04美元的每股收益预期,但其本币增长前景目前较为谨慎。近期美伊冲突推高了利率,并使美国抵押贷款市场前景蒙上阴影。更重要的是,监管僵局加剧了这一宏观不利因素。 CFRA的华盛顿分析表明,VantageScore的关键催化剂——一个重要的盈利机会——因围绕FHFA董事的政治纷争而陷入僵局,给投资者造成了巨大的压力。尽管第一季度业绩展现了强劲的运营韧性,但催化剂的停滞和动荡的宏观环境加剧了该股的风险,因此我们降低了目标市盈率。
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Petro Rabigh Emerges From Loss in Q1; Revenue Grows
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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We trim our 12-month target price by $8 to $155, valuing HIG shares at 11.3x our 2026 operating EPS estimate of $13.75 (cut by $0.45) and at 10.6x our 2027 EPS estimate of $14.65 (cut by $0.30), vs. the shares' one-year average forward multiple of 10.3x and peer average of 13x. Q1 EPS of $3.09 vs. $2.20 a year ago missed our $3.60 estimate and $3.39 consensus view. Operating revenue growth of 6.2% was in line with our 6%-10% forecast, amid 5.3% earned premium growth, 13% higher net investment income, and 7.9% fee revenue growth. Q1 written premium growth of 4% and full-year 2025 growth of 7% bode well for 2026 revenue trends as premiums are earned. Underwriting results improved significantly, with Personal Lines combined ratio improving to 87.7% from 106.1% and underlying combined ratio to 85.0% from 89.7%. Business Insurance combined ratio was stable at 94.8%. Weighing the Q1 EPS miss with HIG's decent top-line growth and discounted valuation to peers, we view the shares as undervalued.