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研究快讯:CFRA维持对Apollo Global Management, Inc.股票的买入评级。

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-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师总结如下:我们下调目标价15美元至150美元,采用更为合理的股权风险溢价,但仍能反映APO超过20%的强劲手续费收入增长和稳健的资产管理规模增长。我们的目标价对应的预期市盈率为16.6倍,而过去三年的平均预期市盈率为16.3倍。我们此前对每股收益(EPS)的预期过于乐观,因此将2026年和2027年的EPS预期分别下调0.50美元至9.00美元和0.70美元至10.75美元,这两个下调幅度均接近市场普遍预期,对应的预期营收分别为53亿美元和63亿美元。我们评级面临的风险是股价波动,主要受低质量直接贷款或私募股权投资可能因人工智能对软件公司的潜在颠覆而受到冲击的担忧影响。在财报电话会议上,APO表示,受人工智能对科技公司冲击的低质量直接贷款(非投资级)对总资产管理规模的影响不大。在10260亿美元的总资产管理规模中,信贷业务占8340亿美元(占总额的81%),股票业务占1920亿美元(占19%)。APO预计2026年手续费收入占比将超过20%,其中75%的收入来自成熟的信贷业务,25%来自股票业务。

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