-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:鉴于第三财季业绩强于预期,我们将12个月目标价下调10美元至87美元。该目标价基于我们对2027财年每股收益29倍的预期(由2026财年的45倍滚动推算而来),低于该股过去三年平均39倍的预期市盈率。我们将2026财年每股收益预期从2.16美元上调至2.22美元,并将2027财年每股收益预期从2.73美元上调至2.99美元。尽管面临关税成本,EL的毛利率仍提高了140个基点,营业利润率也提高了360个基点。管理层对2027财年的营业利润率持乐观态度,预计中值将提高190个基点。尽管这些业绩超出预期,但我们认为成本削减是主要驱动因素,尤其是销售点人员的减少。目前股价高于整体市场水平,除非雅诗兰黛中国市场复苏且传统品牌企稳,否则上涨空间有限。不过,香水业务第三季度强劲的内生增长(+10%)以及2026财年更高的内生增长预期(+3%)抵消了部分溢价。我们认为,目前的估值水平风险/回报比较为平衡。
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