-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:我们根据13.2倍的远期市盈率、2027年每股收益预期1.67美元(目标价22美元)以及我们的现金流折现模型预测值(目标价28美元),将12个月目标价上调7美元至25美元。由于预计2027年利润率和需求将低于历史水平,我们的远期市盈率低于约16倍的历史平均水平。我们将2026年每股收益预期从-0.28美元上调至2.72美元,并将2027年每股收益预期从0.53美元上调至1.67美元。我们预测陶氏化学2026年的销售额为446亿美元,2027年为453亿美元。我们认为,陶氏化学的股票在2026年迄今已上涨59%之后,其风险回报比并不理想。尽管中东冲突通过供应短缺和物流中断暂时提振了陶氏化学的业绩,使其产品价格上涨、利润率提高,并在北美市场拥有更强的竞争力,但我们预计这些利好因素将会消退。更重要的是,持续的能源价格波动可能会从两个方面损害利润率:(1) 原料成本上涨将挤压盈利能力;(2) 工业和消费需求疲软将导致销量下降。
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