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FINWIRES

研究快讯:CFRA维持对派拉蒙天空之舞公司股票的“持有”评级

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-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师总结如下:我们基于6.6倍的预期TEV/EBITDA倍数(该倍数反映了并购和执行风险),将目标价下调1美元至12美元。我们的目标价基于较为保守的估值,而五年历史平均水平为9.4倍。鉴于PSKY能否完成对华纳兄弟探索频道(WBD 27 ***)的收购存在不确定性,我们认为我们的目标价是合理的。我们确实担心,WBD的收购可能会因债务过高而面临挑战。PSKY提出的以31美元/股全现金收购WBD的要约,辅以575亿美元的债务融资,对PSKY的财务稳定性构成生存威胁。如果交易在2026年第三季度完成,合并后实体的总债务将超过700亿美元(PSKY目前的136.5亿美元债务加上WBD的现有债务以及新的收购融资),这将导致杠杆率过高,信用评级降至垃圾级,借贷成本显著上升,并需要通过协同效应节省60亿美元的成本。任何监管方面的延误,如果晚于2026年第三季度完成,都将增加成本并延长不确定性,可能导致人才流失或错失市场良机。

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