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研究快讯:CFRA维持对必和必拓集团广告的看法

-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:我们将必和必拓(BHP)的12个月目标价从83美元上调至86美元,按2026财年企业价值/息税折旧摊销前利润(EV/EBITDA)计算,估值倍数为6.80倍,较其三年历史平均值高出19%,这反映了铜和铁矿石等大宗商品价格近期上涨带来的利好因素。管理层维持2026财年铜产量预期,并预计产量将达到预期区间的上半部分,这主要得益于埃斯孔迪达(Escondida)矿区的强劲表现,该矿区开采量创历史新高,同时将单位成本预期下调至每磅1.00-1.20美元(此前为每磅1.20-1.50美元)。我们仍然对铜市场持乐观态度,因为预计到2026年,全球铜市场将出现约15万吨的缺口,这主要得益于电气化和数字基础设施的需求。然而,由于西芒杜铁矿产量过剩以及中国钢铁需求疲软,我们对铁矿石持谨慎态度。必和必拓与中铁集团成功解决合同纠纷,消除了产量不确定性,并应能稳定来自中国的核心铁矿石收入。我们预测2026财年/2027财年EPADS价格为每桶5.24美元/5.48美元(高于此前的5.22美元/5.32美元)。

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

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Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.

$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

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