-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:由于盈利预期上调,我们将壳牌的12个月目标价从84美元上调至93美元。基于2026年10.2倍的市盈率,该市盈率较其10年平均市盈率11.2倍低0.25个标准差。考虑到壳牌庞大的一体化运营规模,其下游业务部门能够部分缓冲2027年原油价格可能下跌的影响,因此我们上调了目标价。壳牌2026年第一季度调整后净利润为69亿美元(同比增长24%),符合市场预期,但高于我们的预期,分别占市场普遍预期的26%和我们预测的38%。因此,基于原油和天然气价格上涨的假设,我们将2026年每股收益预期上调至9.10美元(2026年为6.11美元),2027年每股收益预期上调至8.19美元(2027年为6.29美元),但维持产量预期不变。鉴于近期原油价格反弹(受益于该股与布伦特原油价格较强的正相关性),我们预计股价将继续盘整,因此维持“持有”评级。
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