-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师的观点总结如下:我们将CLF未来12个月的目标股价下调2美元至10美元,基于2027年EBITDA预期,其EV/EBITDA倍数为8.0倍,低于CLF过去三年平均预期EV/EBITDA倍数8.6倍,也低于同行平均水平8.8倍。我们维持2026年每股亏损0.39美元的预期不变,并将2027年每股收益预期下调0.26美元至0.55美元。我们预测,随着贸易执法力度加大,国内钢铁价格走强,以及需求(尤其是汽车行业的需求)走强,公司业绩将在2026年逐步改善。我们预计,公司将于2026年第二季度开始实现正自由现金流,并在停产风险最小化的情况下,第三季度将展现公司全部盈利能力。关键利好因素包括:钢铁进口量处于金融危机后低位,汽车及其他行业铝钢替代趋势加速,以及反映市场状况良好的交货周期延长。然而,我们仍对CLF的高杠杆率(净债务77亿美元)以及待完成的浦项钢铁交易的执行风险保持谨慎。我们认为,在CLF展现出持续的EBITDA增长之前,维持“持有”评级较为合适。
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