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研究快訊:Mdlz:第一季消費者環境嚴峻

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-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點摘要如下:MDLZ公佈2026年第一季調整後每股收益為0.67美元,超出市場預期0.06美元,但以固定匯率計算下降15%。淨收入成長8.2%至101億美元,其中有機成長2.0%,但調整後毛利率下降270個基點至30.7%,營業利潤率下降310個基點至11.7%。新興市場和已開發市場表現分化,新興市場實現強勁的6.3%有機成長(其中AMEA地區成長11.3%),而已開發市場僅達到0.8%的有機成長。 MDLZ重申了2026年業績指引,預計有機成長0%-2%,以固定匯率計算的每股盈餘成長0%-5%,自由現金流預計為30億美元。可可價格相關的不利因素持續影響巧克力市場,已開發市場的銷量持續承壓,而MDLZ的避險計畫限制了其從近期大宗商品價格下跌中獲益的能力,直至2027年。餅乾在已開發市場,尤其是北美市場,也面臨持續疲軟的局面。我們預計2026年將是MDLZ加強投資力度的一年,公司將優先透過增加廣告和商業支出來穩定銷售。

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