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研究快訊:HDFC銀行2026財年績效:合併綜效開始顯現

-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師總結如下: 2026財年(截至3月)淨利成長7.4%至7603億印度盧比,符合我們的預期,這主要得益於貸款成長、其他收入增強以及成本效益的提高。貸款成長加速(+12%),存款基礎進一步鞏固(+14.3%)。儘管存貸比仍高達98.4%,且存款成長主要由定期存款推動,但這反映出HDFC在鞏固存款基礎、改善流動性狀況和減少對批發融資的依賴方面取得了穩步進展。我們認為,在企業和中小微型企業的推動下,HDFC的貸款成長動能將得以維持。定期存款佔比增加以及2025年12月基準回購利率下調25個基點的影響,將對淨利差構成一定壓力。但HDFC融資基礎的結構性轉變將使其淨利差在2027財年保持穩定。我們預計,成本效率的提高(得益於技術/數位轉型)和穩定的資產品質(這將使信貸成本保持在較低水平)將支撐盈利能力,HDFC預計其資產回報率將在2027財年維持在2026財年約1.9%的水平。

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