FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

研究快訊:CFRA 將 Watsco, Inc. 股票評級從「持有」下調至「賣出」。

By

-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點摘要如下:基於相對估值和現金流折現模型分析,我們將WSO的12個月目標價下調68美元至376美元。此次下調評級是基於估值,儘管WSO股價年初至今已上漲約30%,遠高於同類公司9%的平均漲幅。 WSO股價目前也較其歷史遠期均價存在較大溢價,但我們預期其2026年和2027年的營收成長將僅為個位數,即使考慮到WSO在2027年利潤率可能有所提升,我們仍然認為其股價偏高。基於相對估值,我們採用26倍本益比對WSO 2027年的每股盈餘預期進行估值,與WSO過去10年的歷史遠期均值一致,得出每股價值為366美元。同時,我們採用現金流量折現模型,假設未來10年自由現金流年增率為14%,終端成長率為2.5%,加權平均資本成本為8.1%,得出每股內在價值為386美元。我們將2026年每股收益預期下調0.04美元至12.60美元,並將2027年每股收益預期下調1.00美元至14.06美元。我們仍然看好WSO的長期投資前景,但認為在2026年初的快速成長之後,股價可能需要回檔一段時間。

Related Articles

Australia

IMAX is Poised to Surpass 50% EBITDA Margins by 2028 on Rise in Filmed-for-IMAX Titles, Wedbush Says

IMAX (IMAX) is poised to surpass 50% earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization margins by 2028 as the company continues to benefit from an uptick in volume and quality for filmed-for-IMAX titles in 2026 through 2028, Wedbush said in a Friday note.Wedbush said IMAX remains on its "Best Ideas List" and that the company sees further upside from global footprint expansion, higher volume of alternative content to boost revenue and its global box office increasingly relying on a mix of local language and global fare.The 2026 to 2027 "global film slate underscores IMAX's growing prominence in Hollywood and worldwide as an essential partner for major theatrical releases across genres, languages, and geographies," according to the note.Wedbush reiterated its outperform rating with a $46 price target.Price: $35.35, Change: $-2.68, Percent Change: -7.04%

$IMAX
Australia

Western Digital Set to Benefit From Accelerating HDD Demand, Morgan Stanley Says

Western Digital (WDC) is expected to benefit further from accelerating demand for hard disk drives after a "great" fiscal Q3 results, Morgan Stanley said in a Friday report."AI training, inferencing, and agentic workflows are driving accelerating HDD demand, supporting WDC's confidencein >25% long-term nearline EB CAGR," the report said.The note said visibility is also extending, with some hyperscalers locking down capacity into 2029.The note added that its June quarter gross margin guide of 51% to 52% was optically weak, but it reflects conservatism, rather than any weak pricing or cost trends."This quarter reinforces our bullishness on HDDs as a whole, and WDC," the report said. Morgan Stanley boosted its price target to $488 from $380 while reiterating its overweight rating.Price: $427.61, Change: $-6.91, Percent Change: -1.59%

$WDC
Australia

Pegasystems Poised for Growth Acceleration With Blueprint Platform, Wedbush Says

Pegasystems (PEGA) is poised to accelerate annual contract value growth and meet its 2026 free cash flow target as Blueprint, its low-code workflow-design platform, plays a larger role in early customer engagement, Wedbush Securities said Friday in a report.Wedbush said it is "incrementally more bullish" following discussions with Pegasystems executives and the recent pullback in shares appears "overblown."Blueprint is simplifying how Pegasystems works with prospective customers by helping them design and visualize use cases during initial meetings, historically a costly hurdle for the company, Wedbush said. The platform's ease of use supports expectations that new customers will drive about 15% of subscription-contract growth in fiscal 2026, up from 10% previously, the report said.On costs, Pegasystems has taken a "methodical approach" to stock-based Compensation, keeping it in the 8% to 9% range of revenue and prioritizing consistency rather than tying compensation to fluctuating stock prices, Wedbush said. That discipline should support sustainable free cash flow generation despite broader software-sector pressures, the report said.Wedbush maintained its outperform rating on Pegasystems stock with a price target of $60.Price: $36.53, Change: $-0.02, Percent Change: -0.05%

$PEGA