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FINWIRES

研究快訊:CFRA 將 HDFC 銀行的評級從「持有」上調至「買入」。

-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們維持對HDFC 2027財年(3月)每股收益預期(EPADS)為167.50印度盧比(1.80美元),並新增2028財年每股收益預期為181.80印度盧比(1.95美元)。我們預期HDFC 2027財年的貸款成長率將維持在10%左右的低位,與我們對印度銀行業的貸款成長率預測一致,但低於HDFC設定的高於產業平均的成長目標。我們預計,定期存款佔比增加以及2025年12月回購利率下調25個基點將對淨息差構成一定壓力,但HDFC的資金基礎(從批發融資轉向更穩定的客戶存款)將使其2027財年的淨息差保持在穩定範圍內。我們預計,隨著技術/數位轉型效益的逐步顯現,成本效率將有所提高,並且鑑於其穩健的資產質量,信貸成本將保持溫和。我們將目標價從35美元下調至33美元,對應的2027財年本益比約為18.3倍,本益比約為2.5倍(五年平均值分別為22倍和3.3倍)。此估值已考慮了我們預測的2027財年/2028財年淨資產收益率為14%-15%,與2025財年/2026財年的水平相當,但低於合併前的16%-17%。

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