-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們將12個月目標價下調6美元至53美元,市盈率為7.5倍(基於2026年每股收益預期10.5倍推算),較10年平均市盈率11.5倍有所折讓,反映出燃料成本波動和地緣政治不確定性加劇了盈利風險。我們將2026年每股收益預期從5.60美元下調至-0.76美元,並將2027年每股收益預期從8.00美元下調至7.02美元,主要原因是第二季燃料成本將增加6億美元。儘管我們下調了預期,但我們仍維持「買入」評級,因為我們認為該股目前的交易價格頗具吸引力,較其10年平均本益比折讓40%。我們認為這是燃油價格波動帶來的周期性不利因素,而非ALK競爭地位的結構性惡化。此外,商務旅行(第一季年增19%)和高端營收(第一季年增9%)顯示潛在需求依然強勁。儘管燃油價格波動導致短期獲利前景不明朗,但我們相信ALK的策略定位、營運執行(夏威夷業務整合)以及估值折讓使其成為一個極具吸引力的投資機會。
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