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FINWIRES

研究快訊:CFRA重申對美國郵政服務公司股票的賣出意見。

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-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點摘要如下:我們維持12個月目標價92美元,本益比為12.6倍,基於未來12個月每股盈餘預期7.34美元。我們將2026年每股收益預期下修0.06美元至7.00美元,2027年每股收益預期下修0.44美元至7.52美元。第一季業績表現積極,營收和利潤均超出預期,國際利潤也優於預期(-15.7% vs. -30.0%)。管理階層維持2026年營收897億美元及調整後營業利益率9.6%的預期,並預期第二季營運將出現轉捩點。我們認為營收目標合理,但利潤率目標過於樂觀,因為我們預期第二季至第四季平均利潤率約為10.7%。美國消費者支出趨勢表明,在伊朗衝突爆發前,消費回落的跡象就已經出現,我們預計這一趨勢將會加速。 B2B交易量下降(-5.1%)表示產業疲軟。我們認為,隨著消費者對價格上漲的接受度降低,透過燃油附加費進行成本回收將無法有效保障利潤。利潤率持續下降可能會對分紅的可行性造成壓力,因為我們對2026年每股收益的預期意味著約94%的派息率。

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