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研究快訊:CFRA重申對星巴克公司股票的賣出評級

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-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們將目標股價上調8美元至82美元,相當於我們2027財年(9月)每股收益預期值的30倍,與該公司過去10年的平均遠期市盈率一致。我們將2026財年每股收益預期值從2.21美元上調至2.26美元,並將2027財年每股收益預期值從2.64美元上調至2.74美元。鑑於第二季業績顯示全球同店銷售成長強勁加速至6.2%(+710個基點),我們重申「賣出」評級。該股目前的本益比為30倍,與長期平均相符,顯示市場預期這一成長動能將持續到2027財年。我們的模型假設星巴克在2026財年實現5%的全球同店銷售成長目標,利潤率的提升主要得益於門市投資成本的下降、利息支出的減少以及博裕資本中國合資企業帶來的國際業務利潤率的提高。我們認為,僅靠同店銷售成長難以維持營業利潤率的持續提升,因為第三財季新店成長率僅0.8%,預計要到2028財年才會出現回升。鑑於目前的估值水準反映了樂觀的假設,我們認為該股的上漲空間有限,因此維持「賣出」評級。

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